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RE: Mary's Carriage Accident
I think Roger's theories make a lot of sense. It does seem that loosening the driver's seat was not a surefire way of eliminating someone with the strength of Mr. Lincoln.
Also, Mark: What was the insane asylum (now known as St. Elizabeth's and almost extinct since Homeland Security is taking over the campus) is situated on one of the highest points in D.C. I believe only the National Cathedral is on a higher site, and it wasn't there in the 1860s. The city did not have many tall buildings during the Civil War either, so it was likely that the asylum in southeast Washington could be seen from the White House in northwest Washington.
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Mary's Carriage Accident
